Friday, January 23, 2026

Who Built Clawdbot (Peter Steinberger) and Why That Matters. (4 of 5)

It can feel like tech gossip to ask who built a piece of software. In some categories, it is. If I am choosing a weather app, I am not running a background check on the founder. A high-permission personal assistant is different. If you are thinking about letting a system read your files, send messages, or initiate actions in the background, the builder’s track record is relevant. It is part of the “trust architecture,” and in early-stage tools it can be one of the few signals available to a non-expert who does not want to audit code.

Clawdbot’s creator is Peter Steinberger, an Austrian software engineer best known for founding PSPDFKit, a document processing toolkit that became widely used by many. A 2021 TechCrunch article described PSPDFKit raising $116 million in its first outside funding and noted the scale of apps powered by the toolkit (TechCrunch). PSPDFKit has since rebranded as Nutrient, and Steinberger has published about how his team thought about long-term maintainability and disciplined engineering practices (Nutrient blog). That background helps explain why the Clawdbot conversation quickly became less “random viral repo” and more “this might be a serious attempt at a new interface.”

The relevance is not that “successful founder equals safe product.” That is not how reality works. The relevance is that certain habits tend to show up again in new projects, especially when the builder is doing the work in public. PSPDFKit was a developer tool, and developer tools live or die on a few non-negotiables: predictable behavior, reasonable documentation, and a bias toward maintenance rather than constant rewrites. In a 2019 piece, Steinberger emphasized stability and long-term code evolution, and described avoiding dramatic “grand rewrites” because customers depend on continuity (Nutrient blog). If you are trying to build a personal assistant that can touch real systems, that bias toward stability is a feature, not a luxury.

His more recent writing also matters because it shows a pattern of experimentation that foreshadowed Clawdbot. In mid-2025, he wrote publicly about using an AI coding agent as if it were a computer user, in a post titled “Claude Code is My Computer” (steipete.me). Whether or not you agree with the approach, it is evidence that he has been thinking about what happens when an LLM is paired with tools and permissions. That is, again, relevant evidence for why Clawdbot is built the way it is, with messaging channels, tools, and a local file-based memory model.

There is another reason the builder matters in this particular story, and it is about incentives. Steinberger is by most accounts financially independent after his earlier business success, which changes the usual early-stage pressure. A project built to prove a concept, or built out of curiosity, may make different tradeoffs than a product built to hit quarterly metrics. That does not automatically make it better. It does mean you should be careful about importing the standard “startup growth narrative” into your assumptions. A self-hosted open-source assistant can be built for the joy of building, and still have a large impact, for better or worse.

A strong track record, though, does not solve three hard problems that live downstream of any AI agent. First, if the system relies on third-party models or APIs, changes in those models can change behavior. Second, there is configuration risk: when a tool is powerful and flexible, it is easy for users to set it up unsafely. Third, there is “ecosystem risk,” when an open-source project can take on a life of its own through community contributions, forks, and integrations that the original creator does not fully control. Those are not criticisms. They are characteristics of the environment.

Also, just because PSPDFKit achieved scale, it does not follow that Clawdbot will naturally become a mainstream consumer product. We should not assume that because the creator values maintainability, the security questions are “handled.” We should not assume that because he is talented, the AI agent will be reliably autonomous in messy real-world settings. And we should not assume that because the project is open source, it is automatically safe. Open source can improve scrutiny, but it also lowers the friction for others to reuse and remix the work in ways the original author might not endorse.

So what is the practical takeaway from the “who built it” question. It is that the builder’s history should change how you allocate attention. A reasonable person can say, “This is worth understanding because it comes from someone who has built developer tools at scale and thinks in long time horizons.” The same reasonable person should still say, “and because it is powerful, I am going to treat setup and permissions like I would treat granting access to a human assistant.”

Thursday, January 22, 2026

Why Clawdbot Grabbed Attention So Fast. (3 of 5)


Clawdbot did not creep into public view. It appeared, and then it spread fast enough that people started treating it as a sign of the times rather than a niche open-source release. Some coverage tracked it moving from thousands of GitHub stars to tens of thousands in a short span, and described it as one of the fastest-growing open-source projects in recent memory. That kind of attention can be meaningless, but it is rarely random. It usually means a community has identified a new “interface move” and wants to get a hand on it early.

The primary driver is that Clawdbot is a demo of “chat, but with consequences.” A lot of people have been underwhelmed by mainstream voice assistants, and a lot of people have gotten used to the limits of browser-based chatbots. The pitch behind Clawdbot, as described by reviewers, is that it can remember context over time, reach you where you already communicate, and take actions rather than merely generate text. Those three features together map closely to what normal people mean when they say, “I want an assistant.” They do not mean, “I want a better paragraph generator.” They mean, “I want something that can keep track of my life and help me move it forward.”

Then, there’s distribution. It matters that Clawdbot can live inside messaging channels. A surprising amount of personal coordination now happens through iMessage, WhatsApp, Telegram, and the like. When your assistant lives inside those channels, you do not need a new app habit. You talk the way you already talk. That shift from “learn a new interface” to “keep your current interface” is a big accelerant, especially for early adopters who want the fastest path from curiosity to a working loop.

On top of that is an oblique “local-first” instinct. Even among people who happily use cloud services, there is growing discomfort with the idea that everything meaningful runs in someone else’s black box. Clawdbot’s pitch, in many writeups, is that you run it yourself and keep a lot of its state in transparent local files, which means you can inspect, back up, and modify what it “knows”. For a certain audience, that is not just a technical detail. It is a philosophy. It is also, and this matters, a shift in who is accountable if something goes wrong.

Then there’s timing. Clawdbot is not emerging in a vacuum. The last couple of years have seen rapid improvements in model quality, tool integration patterns, and the willingness of developers to treat AI as part of the daily workflow rather than a novelty. There is a reason people describe this moment as the point where “agents” stop being a research topic and start being a product category. Clawdbot is not the only agent project, but it landed at a moment when enough people were primed to believe that the assistant dream might finally be operational, not just rhetorical.

Now for the sober part. Virality is not the same as reliability. One article in particular about the Mac mini craze, in a gentle but firm tone, pointed out that you probably do not need a dedicated machine, and if you are doing this, you should think about safety and setup as first-class concerns, not afterthoughts. That is the right instinct, and it scales beyond Clawdbot. Whenever a new category of tool offers a lot of power, there is a predictable wave of “look what I can do” posts. The more important question is “what conditions made that work” and “what happens when those conditions are not met.”

There is also a social filter that matters, and it is awkward to say out loud. Some developer hype is driven by fear of missing out. That is not irrational. In a fast-moving field, early familiarity can be an advantage. But FOMO has a habit of turning “interesting project” into “inevitable future,” and then into “reckless setup choices.” That is how people end up exposing services to the internet or giving broad permissions without understanding what they granted. 

If you want the short summary of why Clawdbot grabbed attention, it is this. It shows a lot of people what an assistant could feel like when it has memory, lives where you communicate, and has hands. That is compelling. It also reveals that the hard problems are not only model quality. The hard problems are systems design, security, permissions, and the gap between a testing environment and the expectations of normal users. 

Wednesday, January 21, 2026

Clawdbot: Not ChatGPT on a Mac. (2 of 5)


The simplest way to misunderstand Clawdbot is to treat it as “ChatGPT, but on a Mac.” The more accurate way to understand it is as a personal automation framework with an AI interface. The “AI” part is real, but the more important novelty is the combination: natural-language conversation plus the ability to take actions across the system, when configured and permitted to do so. That combination is why people have been tempted to describe it as an assistant that finally feels like the old science-fiction promise, not just a better autocomplete machine.

Here is a one-paragraph definition you can keep in your head. Clawdbot is an open-source, self-hosted personal AI assistant that you run on hardware you control. It generally has two moving parts: an “agent” (the brain, powered by a large language model) and a “gateway” (the front door that lets you talk to the agent through messaging apps you already use, such as iMessage, WhatsApp, or Telegram). Unlike a typical web chatbot, it can be configured to do things on your behalf, such as running commands, managing files, controlling apps, or sending messages, subject to the permissions and safeguards you set.

What it is not is just as important, because this is where reasonable people get hurt by hype. It is not a polished consumer assistant shipped by Apple or Anthropic. It is not plug-and-play. It is not “safe by default” in the way a mainstream voice assistant is, because it aims to be useful rather than constrained to a narrow sandbox. It is not automatically “private” merely because it runs on your own machine, because depending on how you configure the model, your prompts and the data you feed the model may be sent to a third-party API. Those are not moral judgments. They are operational facts.

To make that concrete, it helps to separate “mouth” from “hands.” A large language model is very good at the “mouth” part: it reads text, produces text, and can sound helpful. That is the piece most people now recognize from ChatGPT. The “hands” part comes from tools. Tools are what let an assistant do work in the world, whether that world is a file system, a calendar, a browser, or a messaging app. Once you give the system tools, and permission to use them, the interaction stops being “tell me about my inbox” and becomes “clean up my inbox,” which is a different category of risk. The “Claude with hands” phrasing that pops up in Clawdbot coverage is pointing at exactly this shift: an LLM paired with tools that can act.

The second shift is memory. Many mainstream chat experiences feel like a goldfish. They forget context from one session to the next unless you keep re-explaining. One reason Clawdbot caught attention is that it is built around the idea of long-term memory, often stored in local files, so the assistant can retain preferences and context over time (again, this depends on configuration, and the reliability of memory is never perfect). You see this theme repeatedly in early descriptions, including the “messages you first” framing, which is really a shorthand for a system that has enough context to initiate a useful prompt rather than waiting to be asked.

If you are a non-technical reader, you may be tempted to stop there and say, “Fine, it’s an assistant with memory and tools.” Clawdbot can feel like more than that in practice, because the user-facing simplicity hides a large set of dependencies and permissions. Messaging gateways need to be configured. Tools need to be enabled. Credentials need to be stored safely. And on macOS, automation is intentionally constrained by Apple’s security model, so you will see a parade of permission prompts before anything can act across apps. The simplicity at the surface is real, and so is the submerged complexity.

So what can it actually do, in plain terms? Early coverage and reviews describe workflows like drafting and triaging email, creating calendar events, collecting daily briefings, controlling smart home devices, and sending messages through common chat channels. However, the key is not the individual task. You could do each of those tasks with existing tools. The key is the interface unification: you are not switching between ten apps and three automations. You are communicating in one place, and the assistant is doing the app-hopping for you.

The most important “what this is not” point is the one that protects readers from overconfidence. Clawdbot is not a guarantee of autonomy. It can be configured to act, but acting reliably is a hard engineering problem, especially across messy real-world data and multiple services. This is why early adopters describe it as powerful but demanding. They are not contradicting themselves. They are describing a system that can do impressive things in a careful operator’s hands, and can also do the wrong thing if you treat it like magic.

If you are tempted to try something like this, the first move is to decide what you want it to do. A reasonable starting scope is low-stakes, reversible work: drafting rather than sending, recommending rather than deleting, summarizing rather than acting. There is a reason so many safety recommendations for agents sound boring. The boring version is how you avoid the embarrassing version.

I am going to end this post with a decision question that will carry through the series. If an AI assistant can remember context and take actions on your behalf, what level of transparency and control do you need before you let it touch your real systems?

Tuesday, January 20, 2026

Clawdbot, The Mac Mini, And The “Talk To Your Computer” Moment. (1 of 5)

In late January 2026, one of the stranger tells in the AI world was not a benchmark chart or a venture round. It was a small desktop computer. Multiple outlets reported that Apple’s Mac mini started getting bought up by people who wanted a dedicated box to run a new open-source AI assistant called Clawdbot. That is a concrete, real-world sign that something has shifted. 

Clawdbot is a glimpse of a new interface layer: instead of “chatting with AI,” you start “commanding your computer” in natural language and expecting actual action in return. That is a meaningful change in capability, and it brings meaningful change in responsibility. When the AI can take actions, the risk is no longer just “it gave me a wrong answer.” The risk becomes “it sent the wrong message,” “it moved the wrong file,” “it exposed the wrong thing,” or “I gave it a level of access I did not fully understand.” The upside is real productivity and a more natural relationship with devices. The downside is that you, not a vendor, become the safety layer.

You can hear the appeal in how early reviews describe it. Federico Viticci’s hands-on account for MacStories reads less like “here is a new app” and more like “here is a new kind of personal infrastructure,” with the assistant living inside the same messaging channels you already use and doing real work behind the scenes. A separate write-up framed the core promise as an assistant that “messages you first,” remembers you, and feels present in a way that session-based chatbots do not. Those are not marketing slogans. They are descriptions of an interaction model that people have wanted for a long time.

But the same sources, and the community experience behind them, also point to the other half of the story. This is not a finished consumer product. It is closer to what one review called a tinkerers’ laboratory. It works, but it asks you to do real setup work, and it asks you to take responsibility for permissions, credentials, and the “blast radius” if something goes wrong. If you have ever watched a clean demo and then tried to reproduce it at home, you know the gap I mean. 

So what are we going to do here? In my day job when I advise someone facing uncertainty, there are some well-worn steps. Identify what is new and what isn't. Trace incentives. Make sure the decision-maker has a plan that fails safely.

I've written this in a series of parts. I'll describe Clawdbot in plain English and put firm boundaries around what it is and is not. I then walk through why it has grabbed attention so quickly, and how to separate signal from the kind of excitement that always surrounds anything new in AI at this point. Third, I take a look at who built it, because in high-permission software the builder’s track record is a big deal, and that's good news for Clawdbot, because Peter Steinberger is proven. Then I get concrete about the Mac mini phenomenon and the reality check that comes with running a personal assistant on macOS, including the permissions and security constraints that make it harder than the demos look. I spend some time discussing what might happen next, who will try to control this interface layer, and what to do before welcoming a “do-things-for-you” agent into daily life.

If you only read one idea across all of this, let it be this. When you invite an assistant that can act, you are no longer just a user. You are an operator. That can be empowering, and it can be a liability. The difference is the discipline you bring to permissions, containment, and oversight. That is the thread I want to pull, calmly and with receipts. Next up, we meet Clawdbot, as it actually is, not as it is imagined.

Friday, January 16, 2026

When “Charter” Is About Standing, Not Branding.

I keep coming back to the same tension in school governance. On the one hand, public schools are a local institution. They are supposed to be governed by local authority, accountable to local voters, and designed to serve the whole community. That is the baseline assumption most of us start with, and it is hard to improve on in theory.

On the other hand, the community that "the district" is meant to represent is rarely a single thing. It is a mix of parents, students, educators, administrators, unions, neighbors, taxpayers, and, increasingly, demographic and economic groups whose interests do not line up neatly. When a district moves under fiscal stress, or under institutional capture (sometimes subtle, sometimes not), the formal structures of local governance can feel less like a public forum and more like a narrow channel.

That is why the word charter matters. Not because it is magic, and not because it is a synonym for excellence, but because it describes a different allocation of authority. And when the stakes are high, authority is the only thing that really counts.

Adriana Gutierrez’s reporting in The Press Democrat describes a familiar scene: a crowded room, kids stepping up to a microphone, and adults trying to turn grief into public comment. On January 13, 2026, the Rincon Valley Union School District board voted 5 to 0 to close Douglas Whited Elementary Charter School at the end of this school year. The district framed the closure as a budget move aimed at making a significant dent in an $8.5 million deficit and saving about $1.2 million. (Gutierrez, "Rincon Valley trustees approve Douglas Whited Elementary Charter School closure", The Press Democrat (Jan. 14, 2026).)

The district’s narrative is straightforward. Interim Superintendent Mike Herfurth said the recommendation was not a reflection on Whited’s staff or families. Ron Calloway, a former Mark West superintendent now advising the district, presented an internal analysis and said the decision was not predetermined. Trustees were told Whited rose to the top because it had fewer students to relocate, the shortest travel to other schools, resale opportunities, and a path to defer about $10 million in upgrades. (Id.)

The objections in the room were also straightforward, and they were not just sentiment. Speakers demanded an accounting of real savings and pointed to the Santa Rosa City Schools experience where projected savings later moved. Students and parents pointed to what a closure does to working families, routines, and trust. The article reports that Whited has the largest number of English learners in the district and the third largest number of socioeconomically disadvantaged students, which makes any closure argument carry an equity burden whether or not the district wants that burden. (Id.)

The point of focusing on "charter" here is to understand what the community can and cannot do when the governing institution says, in effect, "this is necessary". Many people hear "charter" and assume "independent from the district". Sometimes that is true. Sometimes it is not. In California, the practical distinction that matters is whether a charter is governed by an independent board with its own standing, or whether it is functionally governed as a program within the district.

If a charter is independent, it is not simply another campus. It may be subject to oversight, but it has its own governance. That matters in a moment of conflict because it changes what the district can do unilaterally and what requires a formal process with grounds and procedural safeguards.

Education Code section 47607 sets out grounds and procedures for revoking a charter, and it contemplates an appeals path. (Educ. Code § 47607.) It is not written as a convenience clause for districts that need to move quickly. It is written as a set of constraints.

If a charter is dependent, those constraints become less meaningful in practice, because the district may be both operator and decisionmaker. You still have rules for closure mechanics, records, and closeout. California’s closure regulations include notice and record transfer requirements, and they anticipate an independent closeout audit after closure. (Cal. Code Regs., tit. 5, § 11962.) But the deeper question is standing. Who gets to say "no" with legal effect, and who is left with only public comment.

That is why charters function differently depending on structure. A charter that can be shut down as if it were simply a campus is not a counterweight to district power. It may be a programmatic variation, and it may do good work, but it is not a distinct civic instrument. If the point of charter law is to allow communities to sponsor educational models that differ from the prevailing district equilibrium, then the meaningful question is whether the charter has enough institutional independence to survive the moments when the district’s interests and the community’s preferences diverge.

Put differently, "charter" is not a label of quality. It is a label of constitutional design. This is also where process comes back in. Process cannot erase the loss of a school. But process can limit the way that loss spreads. It can reduce harm, and it can preserve legitimacy.

The district has an obligation now that goes beyond defending the vote. It needs to publish a transition plan that answers practical questions and does so in plain language. That plan should explain how students will be assigned, what transfer priorities will apply, what transportation supports will be offered, and how English learner services will be maintained. It also should articulate how certificated and classified staff will be treated, and what commitments the district is making about reporting whether the projected savings were achieved.

The district should also say clearly what kind of charter Whited is in governance terms, and what closure procedures govern it, so that the public understands which safeguards do and do not apply. None of that reopens the vote, and none of it resolves the underlying dispute about whether this was the right campus to close.

It does something more basic. It tells families that the district understands it is exercising authority, not just managing a spreadsheet. And it tells the community that the difference between independent and dependent is not a technicality. It is the difference between having institutional standing and having only a microphone.

Friday, January 9, 2026

On the Naming of Roosevelt Roads.

The name Roosevelt Roads has been coming up in the news again, largely in connection with U.S. military operations and planning in the Caribbean. It appears in briefings, in reporting about basing and logistics, and in the background of discussions about regional security. Each time it appears, the name itself is treated as unremarkable, as if it were simply another proper noun.

It is not. By the middle of the twentieth century, almost nobody was naming places “roads” anymore, at least not in the maritime sense. Ports were ports. Harbors were harbors. Terminals were terminals. The older vocabulary of anchorage had already been pushed aside by a civilian language that emphasized infrastructure, jurisdiction, and control.

And yet Roosevelt Roads exists. That makes the name worth examining on its own terms, especially now, because it does not fit the period in which it was chosen and it does not fit the language that surrounds modern military logistics. This was not a colonial survival or a linguistic accident. Roosevelt Roads was named deliberately, at a time when the word “roads” was already fading even within professional navigation. The question is not where the word came from. The question is why it was still usable, and who still had reason to use it.

In classical maritime usage, “the roads,” or roadstead, refers to a partially sheltered anchorage where ships can ride at anchor without entering a fully enclosed harbor. It is open water, but not exposed water. It is a place to wait, assemble, or stage operations without committing to shore facilities. Historically, that distinction mattered because fleets often needed flexibility more than protection.

By the early twentieth century, that way of thinking had largely disappeared from civilian life. Commercial shipping had become port-centered. Harbors were dredged, walled, administered, and priced. The language followed the infrastructure. Words that implied judgment or contingency gave way to words that implied permanence and control. The same limited vocabulary appears repeatedly: port, harbor, terminal, facility. These terms work well in contracts, statutes, and insurance policies. They leave little room for interpretation.

“Roads” does none of that. Roosevelt Roads was not named by a municipality, a port authority, or a developer. It was named by the United States Navy in the late 1930s and early 1940s, when the base at Ceiba, Puerto Rico was developed as a major Atlantic fleet installation. That institutional context matters, because navies do not name places the way civilian systems do.

Naval naming remains operational rather than managerial. It is concerned with what ships do in a place, not how goods move through it or how the place is branded. A naval anchorage does not need to promise efficiency or permanence. It needs to provide depth, maneuvering room, and options.

A roadstead is not a port. It is a space where fleets assemble, where ships wait for orders, where vessels can anchor without binding themselves to shore infrastructure. It signals flexibility rather than throughput. That is exactly what Roosevelt Roads was designed to provide, and that is why the term made sense to the Navy even after it had fallen out of civilian use.

Calling it “Roosevelt Harbor” would have been inaccurate. Calling it “Ceiba Naval Port” would have implied something narrower and more civilian than the Navy intended. The word “roads” signaled open anchorage, deep water, and fleet-scale operations. It described function rather than facilities, and it was a conscious choice.

What makes Roosevelt Roads especially revealing is that by the time it was named, most of the forces that eliminated older maritime language were already firmly in place. Cartography had standardized. Port authorities governed commercial waterfronts. Insurance markets demanded clean categories. Rail and highway networks had integrated ports into national systems. Civilian naming had little patience for words that sounded conditional or old.

Roosevelt Roads survived anyway because it bypassed those systems. It was federal property, so there was no municipal naming process and no competing civilian identity to overwrite it. The name entered circulation through military orders, base designations, and naval charts rather than commercial atlases or tourism materials. Once a name is embedded in operational documentation, changing it is costly and risky. Continuity matters more than linguistic neatness.

The base also became part of national defense history. Names associated with military installations acquire a kind of inertia that civilian places rarely enjoy. They are not casually rebranded, even when their function evolves or their operational status changes.

Timing mattered as well. Roosevelt Roads arrived too late to be modernized into “Harbor,” but too early to sound archaic even within the Navy itself. In the late 1930s, naval planners still understood what a roadstead was and still had a use for the concept. A generation later, radar, aviation, and electronic navigation would make that vocabulary largely unnecessary. You do not get another Roosevelt Roads after Roosevelt Roads.

This is why the name is more revealing than Hampton Roads. Hampton Roads survived because it was old, large, shared, and already embedded in regional identity. Roosevelt Roads survived because it was intentionally archaic, chosen by an institution that still spoke an older maritime language after most civilian systems had moved on. It is likely the last major American place deliberately named “Roads,” rather than inheriting the term from the age of sail.

After World War II, the conditions disappear. Strategic thinking shifts toward air power. Electronic navigation replaces anchorage lore. Ports become fully engineered systems governed by authorities and statutes. Naval bases are named after people or missions rather than water features. The vocabulary changes because the world it described no longer exists.

Seen this way, the reappearance of Roosevelt Roads in current reporting is not just a matter of geography or nostalgia. It is a reminder of how institutional language persists, and of who retains the authority to keep using an older vocabulary when everyone else has moved on. Railroads flattened names to serve schedules. Port authorities flattened names to assert control. Courts flattened names to reduce ambiguity. Insurers flattened names to price risk.

The Navy did not need to do that. Roosevelt Roads survived because it belonged to a system that still valued anchorage over infrastructure, flexibility over branding, and continuity over clarity. The name tells you who was doing the naming, and what they cared about, at the moment it mattered.

Monday, November 25, 2024

Press Questions, 11-25-24. Moody's Credit Downgrade of Sonoma Valley Unified.

 On Wednesday, November 20, Moody's downgraded the credit rating of Sonoma Valley Unified. The press release is here. I answered questions from the Santa Rosa Press-Democrat/Sonoma Index-Tribune regarding the downgrade today, which are below. Photos of are our new dog, adopted from the Marin Humane Society this weekend -- she's a sweetheart. 

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1. The first two paragraphs state, “Moody's Ratings (Moody's) has downgraded Sonoma Valley Unified School District, CA's issuer rating to A1 from Aa3 and its general obligation unlimited tax (GOULT) rating to Aa3 from Aa2. The district has approximately $163 million in debt outstanding. The downgrade reflects the district's weakened available general fund balance providing the district with less financial flexibility.” Do these downgrades surprise you?

The downgrades by Moody's do not come as a surprise to me. For several years, I have expressed concerns about the district's financial practices, particularly our ongoing deficits and the failure to adopt balanced budgets. Two years ago, I advocated for the district to only pass balanced budgets to prevent the degradation of our general fund balance, which is essential for maintaining financial flexibility.

Despite my consistent refusal to approve unbalanced budgets, the majority of the board has postponed making the difficult decisions necessary to align expenditures with our revenues. This reluctance to address the structural deficit has led to a material weakening of SVUSD's financial condition, as now reflected in Moody's assessment.

The rating agencies have evaluated the District's financial practices over the past several years, and the downgrades are a direct consequence of not taking responsible fiscal actions when they were needed. This situation underscores the importance of promptly implementing measures to restore financial stability. SVUSD should take immediate steps to address these issues to regain the confidence of stakeholders and improve its credit standing.

2. What impact will they have on SVUSD? How serious is this situation?

The downgrades by Moody's will have significant implications for the District. First and foremost, they directly affect the value of existing bonds, making them less attractive to investors and potentially increasing the interest rates faced on future debt issuances. This means that any new borrowing will likely be more expensive, leading to higher costs for taxpayers through increased property taxes dedicated to bond repayment.

This situation also reduces financial flexibility. A weakened general fund balance limits the ability to respond to unforeseen events, such as natural disasters or unexpected state funding changes. For instance, in the past, the District has faced challenges like wildfires that required immediate financial resources to address damages and ensure the safety of students and staff. A robust general fund is essential to navigate such emergencies without compromising educational services.

The downgrades are a clear signal that current financial practices need adjustment. Continuing on the current path could lead to further downgrades, which would exacerbate the financial strain on the district and the community.The District must take decisive action to align expenditures with revenues. This includes making difficult but necessary decisions about consolidating campuses and right-sizing operations to reflect the significant decline in enrollment experienced over the past two decades.

By addressing these challenges promptly and collaboratively, the District can work towards restoring financial health. Doing so will help regain the confidence of investors and, most importantly, ensure that it continues to provide quality education to students without placing undue financial burdens on the community.

3. The second paragraph states that the district’s weakened available general fund balance provides the district with less financial flexibility. In what ways?

The weakened available General Fund balance limits the District's financial flexibility in several significant ways. Firstly, it restricts the ability to respond promptly and effectively to unforeseen events. For instance, natural disasters like wildfires pose a substantial risk to District facilities. In 2017, fires came perilously close to Dunbar Elementary School, causing minor damage. Had the campus suffered more severe harm, immediate funds would have been required to restore it, likely drawing from General Fund reserves. A healthier General Fund balance would enable the District to address such emergencies without diverting resources from other essential areas.

Secondly, a diminished General Fund creates challenges in navigating financial uncertainties at the state level. Economic downturns or changes in state funding can negatively impact revenue streams. During the Great Recession, many districts faced significant financial strain due to shifts in state budgets. While this District successfully navigated that period, future economic challenges could arise, and robust reserves would provide a necessary cushion to maintain operations and programs without drastic cuts.

Additionally, the weakened General Fund affects the capacity to manage long-term liabilities, such as pension obligations and other commitments to employees. Without sufficient reserves, the District has less flexibility to address these obligations without impacting current educational services.

Overall, the reduced financial flexibility hampers effective planning, investments in necessary improvements, and the ability to safeguard the quality of education provided. Rebuilding the General Fund balance is essential to restoring the capacity to handle unexpected challenges and ensuring stable financial footing for the District's future.

4. What is the difference between an issuer rating of A1 and an issuer rating of Aa3?

The difference between an issuer rating of A1 and an issuer rating of Aa3 lies in the level of creditworthiness and financial stability as assessed by Moody's. An Aa3 rating is higher than an A1 rating in Moody's hierarchy. Specifically, an Aa3 rating falls into the "high quality" category, indicating very low credit risk and strong financial health. In contrast, an A1 rating is considered "upper-medium grade," still reflecting low credit risk but with a higher susceptibility to long-term financial challenges compared to entities rated in the Aa category.

The downgrade from Aa3 to A1 suggests that the District's financial position has weakened, moving it down the ladder of credit quality. While the District remains investment grade, the shift signals increased concern from the rating agency about its financial practices and overall creditworthiness. This change not only affects the perceived value of existing bonds but may also lead to higher borrowing costs in the future, as investors might demand higher interest rates to compensate for the increased risk.

Moody's has also indicated the potential for further downgrades if the District does not address its structural deficit by 2026. This highlights the need for prompt and effective action to improve financial stability. Restoring a higher credit rating will require eliminating the structural deficit and rebuilding General Fund reserves, demonstrating a strong commitment to fiscal responsibility.

Overall, the difference between an A1 and an Aa3 rating reflects a decline in the District's financial health. Addressing the underlying issues that led to this downgrade is essential to enhance credit standing, reduce future borrowing costs, and ensure the trust of investors and community stakeholders.

5. What is the difference between a GOULT rating of Aa3 and a GOULT rating of Aa2?

The difference between a GOULT (General Obligation Unlimited Tax) rating of Aa3 and Aa2 highlights a concerning trend in the District's credit quality and financial stability as evaluated by Moody's. While both ratings remain within the "high-grade" category, the shift from Aa2 to Aa3 represents a decline in perceived financial health and increased exposure to potential financial challenges. An Aa2 rating reflects a stronger capacity to meet financial commitments, whereas an Aa3 rating signals a notable weakening in financial fundamentals.

This downgrade is not merely a technical adjustment—it serves as a warning of the District's deteriorating fiscal trajectory. The implications extend beyond current borrowing costs; the trend line suggests the potential for further downgrades if the underlying issues are not addressed promptly. Moody's has specifically cited the structural deficit and weakened reserve balances as key concerns, and the current stance of the Board appears to lack the urgency needed to reverse this trajectory.

Further downgrades would have significant consequences, including increased borrowing costs and diminished investor confidence, ultimately placing a greater financial burden on taxpayers. To prevent these outcomes, decisive action is required to stabilize the District’s finances. Addressing the structural deficit, rebuilding the General Fund balance, and implementing strong fiscal oversight are critical steps to halt this downward trend and restore financial stability.

The downgrade to Aa3 signals growing skepticism about the District's financial management. Without action, the likelihood of additional downgrades appears high, threatening the District’s ability to sustain its financial commitments and maintain public trust.

6. The weakened general fund reserves is also mentioned, and Moody’s email states that this is mainly due to the district paying for salary increases of over 24% over the past four years, with some of those increases bring paid for by using one-time funds. I realize the board felt a needed to increase salaries to attract and maintain quality teachers, but given the circumstances, why were such large increases approved by the board?

Over the past twenty years in Sonoma Valley Unified, student performance has steadily declined. The Board has recognized the importance of attracting and retaining quality teachers to maintain high educational standards. Understanding that competitive compensation is essential for teacher recruitment and retention, the decision to increase salaries was intended to benefit students by ensuring access to excellent educators.

At the same time, the District has experienced a decline in enrollment of approximately 40%. As a result, it continues to operate more campuses than necessary for the current student population. The failure to right-size operations has led to expenditures that exceed revenues.

Some trustees were hesitant to make the difficult decisions required to adjust the District's footprint, such as consolidating campuses. While raising salaries was a positive, popular, and necessary step, it was not accompanied by essential cost-saving measures. This reluctance to address structural issues resulted in the use of one-time funds to support ongoing expenses, further weakening the General Fund reserves highlighted by Moody's.

In essence, the salary increases were approved in an effort to improve educational quality but without implementing the necessary fiscal adjustments to sustain them. The Board failed to balance the commitment to competitive teacher compensation with responsible financial management. This failure includes avoiding the tough but necessary decisions to align the District's operations with its current enrollment and financial realities to ensure long-term sustainability.

7. The letter states, “Management is taking steps to align ongoing revenues with ongoing expenditures. This includes possible school closures and additional expenditure reductions. The district expects its declining enrollment, that was exacerbated during the pandemic, to continue to decline, but at a slower pace.” Do you feel that the district is taking sufficient actions to address its financial problems?

No, the District is not taking sufficient action to address its financial problems. Persistent mistakes in fiscal management continue to undermine its ability to achieve stability.

First, the District has delayed decisions on school closures, prolonging the process and preventing necessary cost savings. This delay hampers the ability to adjust operations to address the significant decline in enrollment effectively.

Second, the District is planning to spend additional funds to upgrade Altimira Middle School, despite uncertainty over whether remaining bond funds can cover the costs. There is no clear understanding of the project's scope, cost, or timeline. This approach ignores the availability of Adele Harrison Middle School, a newer campus where consolidation could occur more efficiently and with fewer expenses, conserving funds while expediting the process.

Additionally, the District is deferring further elementary school closures, relying on deficit spending to maintain operations. Credit rating agencies have made it clear that eliminating the structural deficit and rebuilding the General Fund reserve to at least 10% is essential to regain a higher credit rating. Continued deficit spending worsens financial challenges and risks further downgrades.

The District has also misrepresented budgets with a 3% reserve—the absolute minimum required—as balanced. In truth, reserves have been steadily declining, and these budgets have included deficits. Labeling such budgets as balanced contradicts fundamental fiscal principles and erodes credibility.

The refusal to act promptly, coupled with misleading fiscal characterizations and continued delays, prevents effective resolution of the structural deficit. While the best time to address these issues was years ago, the District must take decisive action now to meet community expectations and use resources wisely.

Moreover, prioritizing expenditures on aging campuses over consolidating into newer facilities strains the budget and potentially diminishes educational quality. Failing to reduce the operational footprint further increases management costs and decreases the efficiency of educational programs.

While the Valley's economic base remains healthy, declining student performance has a negative impact on home values and long-term economic growth. Addressing financial issues without improving educational outcomes will not fully resolve the challenges faced.

In summary, the District must make difficult decisions swiftly to right-size operations, eliminate the structural deficit, rebuild reserves, and enhance educational quality. Only through comprehensive and prompt action can these financial problems be effectively addressed, restoring confidence and meeting the community's expectations.

8. The letter also states, “The rating also incorporates the district's growing tax base with solid resident income and wealth indicators. The district's leverage profile is above average but should remain manageable given the district has no near term debt plans. What is a leverage profile and why is this important?

A leverage profile refers to the amount of debt a district holds relative to its financial resources. It encompasses total debt obligations, their structure, and the district's capacity to meet these commitments. A manageable leverage profile reflects financial stability and the ability to handle debt without overextending resources. This directly affects the District's credit rating, which in turn influences borrowing costs and financial flexibility.

For Sonoma Valley, an above-average leverage profile means the District carries more debt relative to its financial resources than is typical for similar districts. While the rating agency notes that this remains manageable in the absence of immediate plans for new debt, concerns persist regarding current initiatives that could disrupt this balance.

The District is considering significant expenditures, including geotechnical retrofits to Altimira Middle School, estimated at $4 to $9 million. These figures are not based on firm quotes, and with rising construction costs, actual expenses will probably exceed projections. The timing and funding of this project remain uncertain, and existing bond proceeds, previously committed to other projects, are unlikely to cover the full cost. Pursuing additional debt to finance these upgrades would further increase the District's leverage, potentially affecting its credit rating and overall financial health.

Additionally, the District has a newer middle school campus, Adele Harrison, built only 20 years ago, that could be utilized more effectively without incurring substantial new expenses. Investing heavily in an older facility requiring costly upgrades, rather than maximizing the use of existing assets, raises concerns about prudent financial management, particularly given the current leverage profile.

It is essential for the District to thoroughly evaluate its capital improvement plans in light of its debt levels. Avoiding unnecessary debt and strategically utilizing existing resources will help maintain a healthier leverage profile. This approach supports financial stability, preserves the District's credit rating, and ensures funds are allocated to best serve the educational needs of the community.

9. It also states these factors that could lead to an upgrade in rankings: 1) sustained improvement in available general fund balance to levels close to or above 10% of general fund revenue; 2) material reduction in long term liability ratio to levels close to 250% of revenue and 3) Deeper entrenchment into community funded status that improves financial performance. How difficult will it be for the district to achieve these things?

Achieving these factors will be challenging for the District but is necessary for improving its financial standing and credit rating. Increasing the general fund balance to levels close to or above 10% of general fund revenue requires eliminating the structural deficit. This means the District must stop deficit spending and make difficult decisions promptly, such as closing underutilized schools and reducing unnecessary expenditures. Delaying these actions only exacerbates financial issues and could lead to further downgrades by credit rating agencies.

Reducing the long-term liability ratio to levels close to 250% of revenue involves addressing obligations like pension liabilities and other long-term debts. The District's current staffing levels contribute significantly to these liabilities, especially when classrooms are staffed below contractual or industry-standard sizes. By right-sizing operations and adjusting staffing to appropriate levels, the District can lower long-term liabilities over time.

Deeper entrenchment into community-funded status that improves financial performance is somewhat beyond the District's direct control, as it depends on factors like local property values and student enrollment numbers. However, the District can influence this by improving the quality of education, which can enhance property values and attract more families to the area. Focusing on raising student performance to meet or exceed state averages can have a positive economic impact on the community and, consequently, on the District's financial position.

In summary, while it will be difficult, these goals are attainable with decisive action and strategic planning. The District needs to act now to stop deficit spending, optimize the use of its resources, and focus on improving educational outcomes. By doing so, it can work toward meeting these factors and restoring its financial health.

10. Regarding factors that could lead to a downgrade of the ratings, it states: 1) inability to successfully implement its plan to right size operations to successfully adopt a structurally balanced budget by fiscal 2026; 2) weakening of available general fund reserves to below 5% of general fund revenue; 3) material increase in long term liabilities to levels above 400% of revenue; and 4) sizeable decline in the district's tax base. Do you think the district is in danger of these things happening?

Yes, the District is indeed in danger of these factors leading to a further downgrade in its credit ratings. The inability to implement a plan to right-size operations and adopt a structurally balanced budget by fiscal 2026 is a significant concern. The District has been delaying critical decisions on school closures and continues to spend additional money on upgrading campuses without a clear understanding of the costs or timelines involved. This reluctance to make difficult choices jeopardizes the goal of eliminating the structural deficit within the specified timeframe.

The weakening of available general fund reserves below 5% of general fund revenue is also a real possibility. Ongoing deficit spending has been eroding the reserves, and the District has been presenting budgets that maintain only the absolute minimum reserve of 3%. Characterizing these as balanced budgets is misleading when, in fact, they continue to run deficits. Without immediate action to curb spending and rebuild reserves, the District's financial flexibility will continue to diminish.

A material increase in long-term liabilities to levels above 400% of revenue is put at risk by the District's staffing levels, especially when classrooms are maintained below contractual or industry-standard sizes. Overstaffing leads to greater pension obligations and other long-term costs. Right-sizing operations is essential to prevent these liabilities from escalating.

The District's tax base is strong, but the continued low levels of student performance are a threat to home values and economic growth in the Valley. By failing to improve student performance and educational outcomes, the District indirectly contributes to a weakening tax base, which could exacerbate financial challenges.

In summary, unless the District takes decisive and prompt action to address these issues, it is in danger of experiencing the very factors that could lead to a further downgrade in its credit ratings. Immediate steps must be taken to stop deficit spending, optimize resource use, and focus on enhancing educational quality to stabilize and improve the District's financial health.

11. Would you like to say anything else?

I would like to emphasize the importance of transparency and accountability in addressing the District's financial challenges. The community deserves honest communication about the state of the District's finances and the steps being taken to rectify the situation. Misleading the public only creates confusion and hinders the ability to make informed decisions.

It is essential for the District to take immediate and decisive action to stop unnecessary spending and focus on right-sizing operations. Delaying difficult decisions only exacerbates the financial strain and increases interest costs, which directly impact every resident and business in Sonoma Valley. These funds could be better utilized to enhance educational services rather than servicing debt.

Engaging the community in the planning process is critical. Parents, teachers, and stakeholders should be involved in discussions about school closures, budget adjustments, and strategies to improve educational outcomes. By fostering open dialogue, the District can build trust and collaborate on solutions that benefit everyone.

Additionally, forming partnerships with already-existing charter schools and other educational institutions can broaden the scope of services available to students. Recognizing and supporting parental choice in education strengthens the community and aligns with fundamental values of freedom and self-determination.

The District has an opportunity to improve both its financial health and the quality of education it provides. By committing to transparency, making responsible financial decisions, and embracing collaboration, the District can better serve the students and families of Sonoma Valley.