John Kelly, Attorney.
Friday, January 16, 2026
When “Charter” Is About Standing, Not Branding.
Friday, January 9, 2026
On the Naming of Roosevelt Roads.
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Roosevelt Roads, 1996. Source: The U.S. National Archives |
Monday, November 25, 2024
Press Questions, 11-25-24. Moody's Credit Downgrade of Sonoma Valley Unified.
On Wednesday, November 20, Moody's downgraded the credit rating of Sonoma Valley Unified. The press release is here. I answered questions from the Santa Rosa Press-Democrat/Sonoma Index-Tribune regarding the downgrade today, which are below. Photos of are our new dog, adopted from the Marin Humane Society this weekend -- she's a sweetheart.
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1. The first two paragraphs state, “Moody's Ratings (Moody's) has downgraded Sonoma Valley Unified School District, CA's issuer rating to A1 from Aa3 and its general obligation unlimited tax (GOULT) rating to Aa3 from Aa2. The district has approximately $163 million in debt outstanding. The downgrade reflects the district's weakened available general fund balance providing the district with less financial flexibility.” Do these downgrades surprise you?
2. What impact will they have on SVUSD? How serious is this situation?
3. The second paragraph states that the district’s weakened available general fund balance provides the district with less financial flexibility. In what ways?
4. What is the difference between an issuer rating of A1 and an issuer rating of Aa3?
5. What is the difference between a GOULT rating of Aa3 and a GOULT rating of Aa2?
6. The weakened general fund reserves is also mentioned, and Moody’s email states that this is mainly due to the district paying for salary increases of over 24% over the past four years, with some of those increases bring paid for by using one-time funds. I realize the board felt a needed to increase salaries to attract and maintain quality teachers, but given the circumstances, why were such large increases approved by the board?
7. The letter states, “Management is taking steps to align ongoing revenues with ongoing expenditures. This includes possible school closures and additional expenditure reductions. The district expects its declining enrollment, that was exacerbated during the pandemic, to continue to decline, but at a slower pace.” Do you feel that the district is taking sufficient actions to address its financial problems?
8. The letter also states, “The rating also incorporates the district's growing tax base with solid resident income and wealth indicators. The district's leverage profile is above average but should remain manageable given the district has no near term debt plans. What is a leverage profile and why is this important?
9. It also states these factors that could lead to an upgrade in rankings: 1) sustained improvement in available general fund balance to levels close to or above 10% of general fund revenue; 2) material reduction in long term liability ratio to levels close to 250% of revenue and 3) Deeper entrenchment into community funded status that improves financial performance. How difficult will it be for the district to achieve these things?
10. Regarding factors that could lead to a downgrade of the ratings, it states: 1) inability to successfully implement its plan to right size operations to successfully adopt a structurally balanced budget by fiscal 2026; 2) weakening of available general fund reserves to below 5% of general fund revenue; 3) material increase in long term liabilities to levels above 400% of revenue; and 4) sizeable decline in the district's tax base. Do you think the district is in danger of these things happening?
11. Would you like to say anything else?
Tuesday, November 19, 2024
Questions from the Press, Tuesday, Nov. 19, 2024. School Consolidation.
After a further study session last night, I answered a series of questions from the Santa Rosa Press Democrat/Sonoma Index-Tribune today. Per past practice, I publish the answers for the public below. The picture is from last week's board meeting, by Robbi Pengelly of the Sonoma Index-Tribune.
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1. What were your impressions of the discussion about consolidation at last night’s board meeting? Why did you choose to not attend the meeting?
Friday, November 15, 2024
Questions from the Press, Friday, Nov. 15, 2024. Responses regarding Sonoma School Consolidation Questions.
Sonoma Valley Unified is bringing its school consolidation process to a close, and I answered a series of questions from the Santa Rosa Press Democrat/Sonoma Index-Tribune regarding the process today. I publish the answers for the public below. The picture is of my oldest daughter Siena, a junior at Sonoma Valley High, out on a hike with me.
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1. Did you expect that the board would make a decision on consolidation at yesterday’s meeting?
2. Several board members and people speaking during public comment seemed to think that more time is needed for the board to make a decision on consolidation. What are your thoughts on this?
3. As I understand it, the board now plans to have staff members provide, among other things, more detailed information regarding making one school both dual immersion and standard, the costs of closing and consolidating schools, and whether or not students currently in the dual immersion programs would continue with the programs if they were moved to another campus. What information would you like to see the staff members provide before board members meet again this coming Monday, Nov. 18?
4. Will the meeting on Monday be considered a study session, with public access in person and on Zoom? What time will it start?
5. Will the board be able to make a decision on consolidation before the next regular meeting on Friday, Dec. 13?
6. Trustees have previously stated that the board needs to make a decision by December to allow enough time for a consolidation to take place in the 2025-26 school year. Do you believe that a decision needs to be made by December?
7. Board members seem to be nearing a consensus on closing Adele Harrison in 2026-27 and consolidating its students at Altimira. Do you think this is the best idea for middle school consolidation, and why couldn’t this consolidation happen in the 2025-26 school year?
8. Regarding elementary schools, board members seem to most seriously consider 1) closing Prestwood; 2) closing Sassarini; or 3) closing Flowery and moving its dual immersion program to another campus. What are your thoughts on these three options?
9. Do you think the board should still consider K-8 and K-6 options?
10. It seems that contracts with the VMTA and CSEA will have a huge impact on the board’s consolidation decision. Is the board waiting on its decision to ratify the contract with VMTA and CSEA until a consolidation decision is reached?
11. Would you like to say anything else?
Tuesday, June 25, 2024
Fred Allebach on Sonoma's General Plan Meeting, June 25, 2024.
Fred argues that "the General Plan process is now a chance to walk the talk," referring to the opportunity to reflect these equity commitments in tangible planning policies. He highlights deficiencies in the current General Plan’s data and analysis, pointing out the lack of comprehensive local studies and the over-reliance on general data sources that do not accurately reflect local conditions. Fred is right when he asserts that accurate local data is vital for creating policies that genuinely address the needs of disadvantaged communities in Sonoma.
A significant concern he raises is the omission and underplay of local demographic, economic, and educational equity issues in the existing conditions baseline report. He warns that "if the existing conditions baseline report as initially written omits and underplays local demographic, economic, and educational equity issues, this will stand for 20 years," perpetuating existing inequities. Allebach cites the example of socioeconomic demographic stats from the 2023 Housing Element analysis, noting the acknowledgment of disadvantaged communities in Sonoma Valley, which is not adequately addressed in the current General Plan.
Fred also questions the motives behind the apparent lack of detailed local data analysis in the General Plan and Housing Element. He notes that there are community fairness concerns, stating, "it's my contention that the Housing Element and General Plan are intentionally underplaying local equity issues." He believes that addressing these issues might disturb the status quo preferred by influential city stakeholders.
Fred calls for a comprehensive revision of the General Plan to include more localized and accurate data reflecting equity issues. I'm glad we have Fred doing this important work, and his meticulousness in addressing all the concerns comprehensively. More information on the meeting, including how to participate, is at the following link:




